10 Good Stocks That Are Cheap Now: Morningstar

Published on October 4, 2024

These picks from Morningstar's list of favorites are trading at a discount, analysts say.

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The Big Four Recession Indicators

October 4, 2024
Official recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague about the specific indicators on which they base their decisions. There is, however, a general belief that there are four big indicators that the committee weighs heavily in their cycle identification process.

Regression to Trend: S&P Composite 170% Above Trend in September

October 4, 2024
Quick take: At the end of September, the inflation-adjusted S&P 500 index price was 170% above its long-term trend, up from August.About the only certainty in the stock market is that, over the long haul, over-performance turns into underperformance and vice versa. Is there a pattern to this movement? Let's apply some simple regression analysis to the question.