Buffett Valuation Indicator: September 2024

Published on October 4, 2024

With the Q2 GDP third estimate and the September close data, we now have an updated look at the popular "Buffett Indicator" -- the ratio of corporate equities to GDP. The current reading is 196.9%, up from 194.9% the previous quarter.

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Market Valuation: Is the Market Still Overvalued?

October 4, 2024
Here is a summary of the four market valuation indicators we update on a monthly basis.The Crestmont Research P/E ratioThe cyclical P/E ratio using the trailing 10-year earnings as the divisorThe Q ratio, which is the total price of the market divided by its replacement costThe relationship of the S&P composite price to a regression trendline

Market Valuation, Inflation and Treasury Yields - September 2024

October 4, 2024
Our monthly market valuation updates have long had the same conclusion: US stock indexes are significantly overvalued, which suggests cautious expectations for investment returns. On August 4, 2020, the 10-year Treasury yield hit its all-time low of 0.52%. As of October 4, it was 3.98%.