The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Retail Sales Up 0.3% in September

Published on October 17, 2024

Nominal retail sales in September were up 0.43% month-over-month (MoM) and up 1.74% year-over-year (YoY). However, after adjusting for inflation, real retail sales were up 0.25% MoM and down 0.65% YoY.

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Unemployment Claims Down 19K, As Expected

October 17, 2024
In the week ending October 12th, initial jobless claims were at a seasonally adjusted level of 241,000. This represents a decrease of 19,000 from the previous week's figure and is right in line with what economists were expecting.

The Big Four Recession Indicators: Industrial Production Worse Than Expected in September

October 17, 2024
Industrial production was down 0.3% in September, coming in worse than the expected 0.1% decrease. Compared to one year ago, industrial production is down 0.64%.