Framework for Forecasting Next Year’s Stock Market Return

Published on December 23, 2024

Wall Street expects the stock market to earn a return in 2025 that is similar to the average return over the past 100 years. Do you agree?

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MicroStrategy’s Long-Shot S&P 500 Bid Stokes Wall Street Agita

December 23, 2024
To Michael Saylor’s online fanbase, it’s the next step in the great normalization of crypto: Bitcoin proxy MicroStrategy Inc. enters the S&P 500 next year, forcing the likes of index-tracking funds to buy his controversial company en masse. Whether they like it or not.

Does High CAPE Predict Low Market Returns?

December 23, 2024
CAPE, or the cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio, introduced in 1988 by economists John Campbell and Robert Shiller, is arguably the best-known indicator of broad market valuation. And CAPE is now at an almost (though not quite) all-time high level, according to data from Robert Shiller's website.