It Was a Very Good Year

Published on January 7, 2025

Stocks are coming off another banner year, but strength has bred a frothy sentiment environment, which continues to loom as a risk for likely coming volatility.

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Notes From the Desk: The Starting Line for the US Yield Curve

January 7, 2025
Two key components drive the shape of the yield curve: expectations for the short-term interest rate and expectations for the term premium.

Trade Balance Jumps 6.2% in November

January 7, 2025
The U.S. international trade in goods and services is published monthly by the Bureau of Economic Analysis with data going back to 1992 and details U.S. exports and imports of goods and services. In November, the trade deficit expanded 6.2% to -$78.19B. The latest reading was better than the forecast of -$78.30B.