Cerulli: Financial Advisors to Sell More Retirement Plans as Micro DC Market Grows

Published on January 10, 2025

A survey of DC recordkeepers found a large majority expect to see more financial advisors selling 401(k) plans with less than $5 million in assets.

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The Big Four Recession Indicators: December Employment

January 10, 2025
There is a general belief that there are four big indicators that the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee weighs heavily in their cycle identification process. This commentary focuses on one of those indicators, nonfarm employment. December saw a 256,000 increase in total nonfarm payrolls and the unemployment ticked down to 4.1%.

The Big Four Recession Indicators

January 10, 2025
Official recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague about the specific indicators on which they base their decisions. There is, however, a general belief that there are four big indicators that the committee weighs heavily in their cycle identification process.