Unemployment Claims and the CLF as a Recession Indicator: January 2025

Published on February 10, 2025

What does the ratio of unemployment claims to the civilian labor force tell us about where we are in the business cycle and recession risk?

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The Mirage of More: Why Chasing Big Returns and Bold Bets Undermine Long-Term Success

February 10, 2025
Whether its crypto last quarter or the Mag Seven-led S&P of the past two years, FOMO is natural when we see big gains. Hey, we’re all human.

Putting ‘Fixed Income’ Back Into Fixed Income: Cash-Flow-Matched Bond Strategies for Retirees

February 10, 2025
Adding cash-flow-matched bond strategies to a total return strategy appears to improve total return relative to risk by reducing the likelihood of poor outcomes.