Market Valuation, Inflation and Treasury Yields - November 2025

Published on December 4, 2025

Our monthly market valuation updates have long had the same conclusion: US stock indexes are significantly overvalued, which suggests cautious expectations for investment returns. This analysis focuses on the P/E10 ratio, key indicator of market valuation, and its correlation with inflation and the 10-year Treasury yield.

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Vanguard Plans Miami Expansion to Tap More Latin American Wealth

December 4, 2025
Vanguard, a major global asset manager, is planning to significantly expand its US offshore wealth services, primarily by tripling its team in Miami and growing in other US cities like Houston and California. This strategic move aims to cater to wealthy Latin Americans who increasingly seek to move their assets abroad, often preferring the US for its stability.

US Jobless Claims Fell to Three-Year Low Over Thanksgiving

December 4, 2025
While volatility around holidays makes the single week's number choppy, this trend supports the view that actual job losses remain limited, allaying concerns about a rapid deterioration of the labor market. The overall low-fire, low-hire market, however, has made it difficult for out-of-work Americans to find new employment.