Jobs Data From Alternative Sources May Drive Fed’s Next Move

Published on December 8, 2025

Due to the federal government shutdown, official jobs data remains incomplete, forcing the Federal Reserve to rely on alternative private-sector reports to gauge the labor market. These alternative data sources, such as the ADP report and Revelio Labs estimates, indicate a widespread and concerning slowdown in employment, with job creation stalling, openings shrinking, and layoffs rising across many sectors.

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High Earnings Growth Does Not Justify High Price/Earnings

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Two Measures of Inflation: September 2025

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Inflation remains a hot topic, directly impacting everything from your grocery bill to interest rates. As of September 2025, two key inflation gauges — the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) — show that prices are still above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, with the core PCE at 2.8% and core CPI at 3.0%.