Unemployment Claims and the CLF as a Recession Indicator: December 2025

Published on January 20, 2026

What does the ratio of unemployment claims to the civilian labor force tell us about where we are in the business cycle and recession risk?

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AI Productivity, Employment and UBI

January 20, 2026
AI productivity gains will demand active solutions, not government gifts. Skill development, apprenticeships, employer-based training, wage insurance, and mobility support. These tools address displacement directly, while UBI does not.

Former Wealthspire CIO Lands at Multi-Family Office Collaborative Capital

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Michael Moriarty lands at a $382 million multi-family office shortly after Wealthspire’s revamp following its acquisition by Madison Dearborn Partners.