Q4 GDP Advance Estimate: Real GDP at 1.4%, Lower Than Expected

Published on February 20, 2026

U.S. economic growth cooled more than expected in Q4 2025, according to the BEA’s latest advance estimate. Real GDP rose at just a 1.4% annual rate, falling well short of the 2.8% forecast and marking a steep drop-off from the 4.4% final estimate seen in Q3.

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