Core PCE Inflation at 3.0% in February, as Expected

Published on April 9, 2026

The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE price index, climbed 3.0% year-over-year in February. This figure was consistent with the forecast and reflected a slowdown from January's 3.1% reading.

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Middle East War, Energy Shock Test Fragile Markets

April 9, 2026
Global equities declined during a volatile first quarter as the war in Iran roiled energy markets and fueled inflation fears that destabilized the economic growth outlook. Mounting geopolitical hazards add to existing worries around concentrated equity markets and the potential for AI to disrupt businesses.

Real Disposable Income Per Capita Down 0.5% in February

April 9, 2026
With the release of February's report on personal incomes and outlays, we can now take a closer look at "real" disposable personal income per capita. To two decimal places, disposable income per capita was up down 0.09% month-over-month. When adjusted for inflation, real disposable income per capita was down 0.46%.