An Inside Look at the Q1 2026 GDP Third Estimate

Published on June 25, 2026

Real gross domestic product (GDP) is comprised of four major subcomponents. In the Q1 2026 GDP third estimate, three of the four components made positive contributions.

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Q1 GDP Third Estimate: Real GDP at 2.1%, Higher Than Expected

June 25, 2026
U.S. economic growth rebounded at the beginning of 2026, according to the BEA’s latest estimate. Real GDP rose at a 2.1% annual rate in Q1, exceeding the 1.6% forecast and marking a sharp acceleration from the 0.5% final estimate seen in Q4 of last year.

GDP Per Capita: Q1 2026 Third Estimate

June 25, 2026
The third estimate for Q1 GDP came in at 2.09%, an acceleration from 0.48% for the Q4 final estimate. With a per-capita adjustment, the headline number is lower at 1.91%, a pickup from 0.18% for the Q4 headline number.