NFIB Small Business Survey: Optimism Picks Up in June

Published on July 14, 2026

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 2.1 points to 97.4, reaching its highest level since February. However, the index remains below its historical average for a fourth straight month.

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Inflation Since 1872: A Long-Term Look at the CPI

July 14, 2026
The June release of the Consumer Price Index for Urban Consumers (CPI-U) places the year-over-year inflation rate at 3.53%. This pushes inflation back below the post-WWII average of 3.72% for the first time since March. Meanwhile, this marks the fourth consecutive month that the current rate is above the 10-year moving average, which currently sits at 3.29%.

Crude Awakening: The Iran Coflict’s Aftereffects Will Linger Long After it’s Over

July 14, 2026
Every major geopolitical crisis has two types of effects: those that occur during the crisis itself and those that remain on a long-term basis, perhaps even permanently. The US-Iran conflict is no exception.