A Market Ahead of Its Economy

Published on August 17, 2026

Today’s market does not represent today’s economy. The ratio of market value dependent on future economic activity versus present activity has never been higher. These companies have earnings now, but those earnings stem from investments in the future, not present consumption.

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Economic Statistics Are Stuck in Neutral, But for How Long?

August 17, 2026
US existing home sales fell a little in July, according to data released last week by the National Association of Realtors. But what really stands out when one looks at the numbers is how little they’ve changed over the past three years. This July, homes were selling at an annual pace of 4.06 million. In July 2023, it was 4.08 million.

Lacy Hunt Turns Bearish: Studying His Reversal

August 17, 2026
Hoisington Investment Management — managed by Hunt and Hoisington — sharply reduced its clients’ bond duration and put the proceeds in Treasury bills. That reversal of such long-held opinions deserves serious attention. I will summarize Hunt’s new views and some counterpoints to help you assess his new stance.