Five Key Questions for Third-Quarter Earnings Season

Published on October 20, 2026

Third-quarter earnings season kicked off this week and expectations are high. Despite the headwinds of higher oil prices and interest rates, economic growth has remained resilient, while the AI investment boom continues to gain momentum. As a result, the S&P 500 is expected to deliver 29% year-over-year earnings growth, marking a third consecutive quarter of 25%+ gains.

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4 Stocks to Watch This Earnings Season Beyond Big Tech and AI

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AI Capex And Earnings: What Happens When Growth Slows

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Almost half of the S&P 500’s earnings growth this year traces back to one activity: companies buying chips, servers, power gear, and concrete to build artificial intelligence. That’s the estimate Goldman Sachs published on September 23. It’s also the clearest statement yet of how tightly AI capex and earnings are now linked.