The Math Behind Earnings Growth Does Not Support High Stock Prices

Published on March 17, 2025

Prices can continue to rise, until they don’t. Have we reached the point where they don’t?

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The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Retail Sales Flat in February

March 17, 2025
Nominal retail sales in February were up 0.20% month-over-month (MoM) and 3.11% year-over-year (YoY). However, after adjusting for inflation, real retail sales were down 0.02% MoM and up 0.38% YoY.

Oracle of the Apocalypse

March 17, 2025
No matter how conversant one is with global security issues, it’s hard to fully grasp what that abyss would look like; Jacobsen accomplishes this formidable task by spending more than a decade with the dramatis personae in the history of nuclear weaponry.