The Four Bad Bear Recoveries: Where Is Today's Market?

Published on April 4, 2025

This chart series features an overlay of four major secular bear markets: the Crash of 1929, the Oil Embargo of 1973, the Tech Bubble, and the Financial Crisis. The numbers are through the March 31, 2025 close.

Continue reading on website
Other news

The Big Four Recession Indicators: March Employment

April 4, 2025
There is a general belief that there are four big indicators that the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee weighs heavily in their cycle identification process. This commentary focuses on one of these indicators: nonfarm employment. In March, total nonfarm payrolls increased by 228,000, while the unemployment rate inched up to 4.2%.

Roubini Sees More Market Drops Ahead

April 4, 2025
Trump "cares more about the bond market and the dollar” than about stocks, the economist said.      Related StoriesCarson Group's Detrick Finds Bright Spots on the Worst Stock Day in YearsSchwab's Sonders: Bear Market Possible if Tariffs StickStocks Tumble as ‘America First' Trade Collapses