Midyear Fixed Income Outlook: Starting Yields Matter Amid Uncertainty

Published on July 3, 2025

We began the year optimistic that an environment of slowing growth, disinflation and easier monetary policy would be favorable for fixed income markets. Now at midyear, we maintain that view, while acknowledging that policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks may likely result in continued volatility.

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A Lesson From Recent History

July 3, 2025
It has been over six months since the FOMC has made a change to the Fed Funds rate. While the debate continues as to when the next cut will be, market consensus (per Bloomberg calculations) is currently for a 25 basis point cut in September.

US Department of Labor awards $1M for disaster-relief jobs for Missouri residents affected by multiple severe storms

July 3, 2025
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