Weekly Economic Snapshot: The Labor Market’s Conflicting Signals

Published on July 7, 2025

Last week, the U.S. labor market took center stage, delivering conflicting signals. The S&P 500 reached many record highs during the shortened trading week.

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At The Crossroads

July 7, 2025
There will be lots of essays written over the course of this year. Many of them will be moving. But it comes down to, “we mutually pledge our lives, our fortunes and our sacred honor.” It was blood, sweat, toil and tears.

Unemployment Claims and the CLF as a Recession Indicator: June 2025

July 7, 2025
What does the ratio of unemployment claims to the civilian labor force tell us about where we are in the business cycle and recession risk?