Chicago Fed National Activity Index: Economic Growth Decreased in July

Published on August 25, 2025

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) fell to -0.19 in July from -0.18 in June. One of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index decreased from June, and three categories made negative contributions in July.

Continue reading on website
Other news

RecessionAlert Weekly Leading Economic Index

August 25, 2025
The weekly leading economic index (WLEI) is a composite for the U.S economy that draws from over 20 time-series and groups them into the following six broad categories which are then used to construct an equally weighted average. As of August 15th, the index was at 13.26. Currently, there are 3 of the 6 components in expansion territory.

Numbers Behaving Badly

August 25, 2025
Like human friends, numbers aren’t perfect. Sometimes they mislead you, even when they don’t mean to. At other times they’re just wrong. Maybe they mean well but don’t supply what you really need. But on balance, you’re better off with them than without them.