The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Personal Income

Published on August 29, 2025

Personal income (excluding transfer receipts) rose 0.5% in July and was up 4.3% year-over-year. However, when adjusted for inflation using the BEA's PCE Price Index, real personal income (excluding transfer receipts) was up 0.3% month-over-month and up 1.6% year-over-year.