Employment Disappoints in August. Will the Fed Disappoint in September?

Published on September 9, 2025

Our biggest concern today is that if the labor market is as weak today as the numbers are showing, what will happen when all the federal government workers start dropping out of the employment numbers at the end of the fiscal year and during the next several quarters.

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US Payrolls Marked Down a Record 911,000 in Preliminary Estimate

September 9, 2025
US job growth was far less robust in the year through March than previously reported, adding to mounting pressure on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates.

Secretary Chavez-DeRemer statement on BLS preliminary benchmark revision

September 9, 2025
WASHINGTON – U.S. Secretary of Labor Lori Chavez-DeRemer issued the following statement after the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its preliminary annual benchmark revision to nonfarm payroll data, revealing that job growth was revised down 911,000 through the 12-month period ending in March 2025 – one of the largest markdowns in decades:“Today’s massive downward revision gives the America