How Will the Government Shutdown Impact Markets?

Published on October 4, 2025

As of midnight Tuesday, the U.S. government shut down, as lawmakers couldn’t reach an agreement on a short-term bill to continue funding government expenditures. Currently, none of the 12 appropriations bills have been passed.

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Maybe the Fed Shouldn’t Be Cutting Interest Rates

October 4, 2025
Should the US Federal Reserve keep cutting interest rates? Markets certainly think it will: Futures prices suggest the federal funds rate will fall to about 3% by the end of 2026, from just above 4% now.

AI Data Centers Give Private Credit Its Mojo Back

October 4, 2025
Private credit managers have proven their prowess in fundraising, but are falling short on dealmaking. With mountains of cash waiting to be deployed, they are latching onto the artificial intelligence data center boom, hoping to stay relevant as banks reclaim their dominant position in corporate lending.